Reviewed September 25, 2026. For applicants in the 2027 ERAS season.
For the 2027 applicant season, AAMC's Interview Likelihood feature compares selected application characteristics with each program's historical invitation patterns, using 2026-cycle data. It gives one of four categories, not a personal percentage or a forecast of what a program will do next. AAMC explains the feature and its limits.
What the category can tell you
The categories summarize how applicants with similar profiles fared in that previous cycle. AAMC cautions that the result is not a prediction or guarantee and should not automatically rule out a program. The model omits parts of an application, including letters, personal statements, clerkship grades, and experiences; program criteria can also change. Consider the result alongside program fit, your goals, and advice from people who know your application.
Turn one result into one useful action
Choose one program you remain interested in, whatever its category. Make a short private note:
- What does the program say it values? Use its official site or current materials and separate stated facts from your interpretation.
- What part of my background connects? Pick one true experience, interest, or goal that you can explain in your own words.
- What would I like to learn in an interview? Write one question about the curriculum, community, support, or training environment that matters to you.
- Which answer should I practice first? Choose a relevant prompt and rehearse one clear answer. Focus on what you did, what you learned, and what you still want to understand.
Fictional example: Maya is interested in a community program whose website describes longitudinal work with local clinics. She writes down one real service experience that connects to that focus, then practices explaining what she contributed and what she wants to learn about the clinics' role in resident training. The exercise helps her prepare a question; it does not change or predict her category.
This exercise is for preparation, not for changing an application or trying to reverse-engineer AAMC's model. Do not share private application records or exam scores to complete it.
Keep the source current
Use AAMC's Interview Likelihood explanation and the Residency Explorer tool for the feature's current details. Check the AAMC 2027 ERAS timeline for application-season dates. The 2026 data reference above is specific to the AAMC page reviewed on September 25, 2026; revisit the official source before using this guide for a later cycle.
Practice one answer
You can start with a free residency interview question and review rubric-matched feedback. The free account allowance currently includes five practice questions and up to ten AI analysis runs; usage is shared across questions and may be exhausted before every question is analyzed. You do not need to upload an application or an Interview Likelihood result.
For a separate exercise connecting your submitted experiences with interview stories, see the free Application-to-Interview Consistency Workbook.
BeMedResident is independent of AAMC and Residency Explorer. This guide explains public information and is not affiliated with or endorsed by AAMC.